orama/whitepaper/APPENDIX_C_BONDING_CURVE.md

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Appendix C: Bonding Curve Price Table & BTC Reserve Projections

Curve Formula


\text{Price (BTC)} = k \times \sqrt{n}

Where:

  • k = 0.0000000006 BTC (genesis constant)
  • n = total number of $ORAMA tokens sold from the curve

Total Cost Formula

The cumulative BTC required to purchase the first N tokens from the curve:


\text{Total BTC} = k \times \frac{2}{3} \times n^{3/2}

Detailed Price Table

Tokens Sold (n) Price per $ORAMA (BTC) Price (USD at $100K BTC) Cumulative BTC Spent Cumulative USD Spent
1 0.0000000006 $0.00006 0.0000000004 $0.00004
100 0.000000006 $0.0006 0.0000004 $0.04
1,000 0.000000019 $0.0019 0.000012 $1.27
10,000 0.00000006 $0.006 0.0004 $40
50,000 0.000000134 $0.0134 0.00447 $447
100,000 0.00000019 $0.019 0.0127 $1,265
500,000 0.000000424 $0.0424 0.141 $14,142
1,000,000 0.0000006 $0.06 0.4 $40,000
2,000,000 0.000000849 $0.0849 1.131 $113,137
5,000,000 0.00000134 $0.134 4.47 $447,214
10,000,000 0.0000019 $0.19 12.65 $1,264,911
15,000,000 0.00000232 $0.232 23.24 $2,323,790
21,000,000 0.00000275 $0.275 38.49 $3,849,002

BTC Protocol Reserve Accumulation

As tokens are purchased from the curve, BTC accumulates in the protocol reserve:

Milestone BTC in Reserve USD Value What This Backs
First 100K tokens sold 0.013 BTC $1,265 Minimal — early days
First 1M tokens sold 0.4 BTC $40K Small but growing reserve
First 5M tokens sold 4.47 BTC $447K Meaningful bridge backing
First 10M tokens sold 12.65 BTC $1.27M Substantial reserve
Full curve (21M sold) 38.49 BTC $3.85M Full reserve capacity

Curve Inventory Supply

The curve's sell-side inventory comes from 20% of block rewards, capped at 21,000,000 $ORAMA total. Once the curve has accumulated 21M tokens (whether sold or unsold), the 20% share redirects to the block proposer.

Era Daily Curve Inventory Added Monthly Era Total (2 years)
1 (Years 12) 288,000 $ORAMA 8,640,000 21,024,000
2 (Years 34)* 144,000 $ORAMA 4,320,000 10,512,000

The 21M cap will likely be reached during Era 1. Once reached, no further tokens flow to the curve regardless of era.

Curve vs Order Book Interaction

The curve and the order book coexist. The real market price is determined by organic supply and demand on the order book:

Scenario: Curve price > Order book price (typical early on)

  • Miners sell on the order book at prices below the curve
  • Buyers purchase from the order book (cheaper)
  • The curve sits unused, accumulating inventory
  • This is normal — miners have surplus tokens and need to sell

Scenario: Order book price > Curve price (as demand grows)

  • Order book is more expensive than the curve
  • Buyers purchase from the curve instead
  • BTC flows into the protocol reserve
  • The curve provides a price ceiling in this scenario

Scenario: After sunset

  • Curve stops receiving new inventory
  • All trading happens on the order book
  • The curve may still have leftover inventory available at its last price point
  • Pure free market

Sunset Conditions

The curve's 20% share of block rewards drops to 0% when:

  1. Average daily order book volume exceeds the governance-defined threshold
  2. This threshold is maintained for 30 consecutive days
  3. The change is automatic — no vote required

After sunset, the 20% that previously went to the curve flows directly to block proposers (miners receive 100% of block rewards).